The National Center for Hydrometeorological Forecasting said that the El Nino phenomenon will appear from mid-2023 and will continue until April 2024 with a probability of over 90%. Most likely, hot weather in the Southern region, the Northwest region and the Central region will come early and appear more often than the average of many years.
Along with that, 2024 is forecast It is predicted that the total rainfall will be lower than the average for many years, and the weather and climate will also have strong fluctuations nationwide. The management agency believes that the risk of water shortage in the first half of the year may be concentrated in the Northern, Central, Central Highlands and Southern regions.
According to some experts, weather developments increasingly unusual, rising temperatures will affect the power supply in the dry season in 2024, especially in the Northern region when hydrological sources are affected, limited power sources, and transmission capacity from Central to Central. The North is still facing difficulties.
Calculated data shows that in 2024, the total electricity produced by power plants (at generator terminals) and imported nationwide will be 306.26 billion kWh, of which the dry season is 148.49 billion kWh and the rainy season is 157.77 billion kWh. During the peak months of the dry season, electricity output is about 109.18 billion kWh.
According to the electricity supply plan during the peak months of the dry season in 2024, the Ministry of Industry and Trade has requested the National Load Dispatch Center (A0) to announce The electricity supply plan includes a plan to mobilize monthly electricity output for investors of power plants and related units to proactively plan for backup preparation.
A0 continued Continue to coordinate with units to implement power source solutions; Coordinate with hydroelectric reservoir management and operation units to regularly update and closely monitor the hydrological situation of hydroelectric reservoirs.
Currently, enterprise in the transmission power generation sector distribution load and fuel suppliers such as coal and gas said they have been proactively implementing plans to produce and supply electricity for the peak months of the dry season with the goal of avoiding electricity shortages.
< p>On February 19, Vietnam Electricity Group (EVN) met with affiliated units to evaluate the situation and urge the implementation of directions and power supply plans for the dry season.</p >
At the meeting, EVN Chairman of the Board of Directors Dang Hoang An and General Director Nguyen Anh Tuan requested the units to continue to monitor the situation of seriously implementing the proposed plan; Regularly report to have timely solutions.
For the 5 power corporations, it is necessary to continue improving the quality of load forecasting; Work with customers to implement a reasonable load regulation program, calculate and mobilize customers’ diesel sources when necessary; Promote innovation in electricity saving propaganda.
For power generation units under EVN Group, it is required to strengthen inspection and supervision of power plants. Northern coal-fired power plants must ensure the availability and reliability of generating units and not allow incidents to occur during the peak months of the dry season.
Power Transmission Corporation The country needs to check, review and immediately fix defects on the 220-500kV power grid, if any; Proactively prepare necessary backup materials and equipment. Corporations/companies must complete the repair of distribution power grids before March 31 and limit the registration of repairs to grid works that affect the power supply for mobilized load during peak season months. dry.
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